Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 219.340302 246.847298 277.417503 314.084306 357.095843 406.227276 466.992194
2024-10-13 173.892548 208.819313 251.018630 306.414901 378.203718 469.483252 596.619613
2024-10-20 151.184342 189.239469 237.781875 305.476778 399.469048 528.542710 725.067427
2024-10-27 130.343028 168.091847 218.180125 291.239391 398.144417 554.050172 809.126979
2024-11-03 122.877139 163.185602 218.807012 303.709400 434.864437 638.705665 999.425000
2024-11-10 117.584130 160.343367 221.485967 318.825779 477.093601 738.701730 1239.369443
2024-11-17 109.196510 152.020205 214.998744 318.695247 494.483258 800.348402 1426.382953
2024-11-24 100.102793 141.707127 204.303062 310.262003 496.247078 834.269016 1567.793266
2024-12-01 92.443501 132.847169 194.903914 302.644065 497.954691 867.798673 1716.904085
2024-12-08 89.072549 130.263609 195.076599 311.026243 529.513954 964.511124 2036.200431
2024-12-15 84.667443 125.648033 191.453450 312.218710 547.503915 1037.016491 2322.195345
2024-12-22 79.462255 119.332534 184.423930 306.410347 550.767957 1078.416438 2542.048617
2024-12-29 75.543252 114.967500 180.541649 306.395080 566.672179 1153.611805 2892.254118
2025-01-05 70.653871 108.663625 172.827229 298.343878 564.714287 1187.185834 3135.831546
2025-01-12 67.348470 104.795168 169.057779 297.486530 578.134755 1261.418421 3544.262855
2025-01-19 62.449992 97.877812 159.301412 283.711546 560.653343 1252.834106 3665.847922
2025-01-26 61.586478 97.901883 162.146097 295.773670 604.473544 1418.349859 4519.017792
2025-02-02 61.060385 98.466482 166.009976 310.389373 657.075422 1624.554977 5689.797995
2025-02-09 58.721816 95.614075 163.160030 310.263194 673.061615 1726.858434 6482.041242
2025-02-16 55.615697 91.181668 156.947987 302.110002 667.134444 1759.064753 6958.128884
2025-02-23 52.824075 87.179988 151.319102 294.743356 662.297458 1794.221121 7483.546560
2025-03-02 51.912120 86.615539 152.436900 302.848943 700.798989 1988.695558 9108.130774
2025-03-09 50.320732 84.676675 150.649418 304.001903 720.155098 2122.155763 10514.567727